Probability Practice Quiz Level 3: Conditional and Binomial Problems
This Level 3 set checks whether you can handle advanced probability: conditional events, repeated trials, bag transfers and multi-card combinations. It tests whether you can choose the right method rather than just count outcomes. Each problem in this set has a step-by-step worked solution on Aptitude360.
Advanced probability topics in this Level 3 set
- Repeated coin tosses and die throws using the binomial approach
- Conditional probability, such as a known dice sum
- Moving a ball from one bag to another, then drawing from the second bag
- Three-card draws by suit and rank, and pairs of the same rank or colour
- Sequential draws until a colour appears, and players taking turns to draw
- Divisibility by neither of two numbers, and products of drawn numbers
- Truth-telling problems and the least number of shots for a target probability
Key formulas for hard probability problems
- Conditional, with \( P(B)>0 \): \( P(A\mid B)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)} \)
- Binomial (independent trials, same \( p \)): \( P(X=k)=\binom{n}{k}p^{k}(1-p)^{n-k} \)
- Total probability, where the \( B_{i} \) partition the sample space and each \( P(B_{i})>0 \): \( P(A)=\sum P(B_{i})P(A\mid B_{i}) \)
- At least one success in \( n \) independent trials, each with probability \( p \): \( 1-(1-p)^{n} \)
- Largest value exactly \( m \) on \( n \) fair dice: \( \dfrac{m^{n}-(m-1)^{n}}{6^{n}} \)
Revision tips for Level 3 probability
- In bag-transfer questions, split into cases by the colour moved, then add the weighted results.
- For a ball drawn at a later position without replacement, symmetry gives the same answer as the first draw.
- With a given condition, shrink the sample space to the outcomes that satisfy it before counting.
Who should take this hard set
It suits students who have finished basic and medium probability and want exam-level practice on conditional, binomial and multi-stage problems.